A report on Employment Trends in the Construction Industry:
London, Middlesex, Elgin, Oxford, Huron, and Lambton

Report prepared for and funded by Human Resources Development Canada and the London HRCC by Kevin McQuillan, Angela Conti and Jennifer Hoffman from the Population Studies Centre, University of Western Ontario, published in October of 1999.


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Executive Summary

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Introduction

The construction industry is one of the largest and most diverse industries in Canada. The industry not only provides employment to large numbers of workers but also has far-reaching effects on the economy of regions across Canada. This report examines employment trends in the construction sector in London and the surrounding five county region: Middlesex, Elgin, Oxford, Huron and Lambton (HRCC area). The goal of this research is to assess the demand for workers in various branches of the industry in the years ahead. Specifically, we are interested in identifying trades or occupations that are likely to be seeking recruits as well as those in which demand may be limited. The report is intended to serve as a guideline for those who are seeking work or retraining by pooling together the views of experts and employers in the industry with respect to skills and training.

To gather the information needed, we contacted employers, associations, unions, general contractors, and tradespeople in the five county region in order to gain an understanding of their perceptions with regards to current issues surrounding employment, training, recruitment and the industry in general. In most cases, our interviews were conducted with managers or the individuals who were best acquainted with the hiring and training practices of the particular company or union. Our interviews focused on the current and future economic prospects for the industry, the situation of their organization, the educational and skills of their current employees, as well as their concerns with regards to issues of aging, skills development, training and technology. We also asked our interviewees to identify the traits or characteristics they would most value in new recruits and to provide advice to those considering a career in construction. Where appropriate we supplemented our qualitative research with quantitative data from Statistics Canada, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, the Apprenticeship Office, the Local Training Board, and some of the local trade unions. These data included statistics on the age distribution of workers, the number of apprentices in various trades, and the number of building permits issued by county. Our goal is to profile long-term employment trends in the industry rather than to list current job vacancies. Given the volatility and rapid fluctuations of the construction industry, it is our belief that persons considering employment in the industry need to look at the longer-term outlook when making decisions about seeking training.

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Overview

In 1997, the construction industry employed approximately 747,000 Canadians in jobs that ranged from general labourers to those in the specialized trades. (Canadian Construction Association www.cca-acc.com/bulletins/human) According to the 1996 census, six percent of the labour force in the London CMA was employed in the construction industry (approximately 11,025 workers). Unlike many other industries in Canada, the construction industry is primarily Canadian owned (approximately 94%). It is also important to note that the industry is dominated by small businesses, 90% of which employ less than 20 workers.

The construction industry comprises five sub-sectors: residential construction, industrial, commercial and institutional construction (ICI), heavy construction (roads, sewers and watermains), power-systems, and heavy engineering. The sectors vary considerably in terms of union organization, size of firms and seasonality. Whereas the residential sector is largely unorganized, the power-systems, heavy engineering, and heavy construction sub-sectors are largely unionized. Similarly, the ICI sub-sector is characterized by larger firms and less seasonality then is typically the case in the residential sub-sector.

Perhaps more than any major industry, construction is particularly sensitive to shifting economic trends. When looking at the overall health of the industry, three factors stand out. First, the overall level of economic activity is very volatile. As will be discussed in more detail below, the industry suffered from the recession of the early nineties. The slowdown in the economy and high unemployment reverberated through the construction sector. The stronger economy of the last few years has thus given a needed boost to construction. This was evident in that the Canadian Construction Association noted that the outlook for 1998 was positive with GDP growth (the strongest single indicator for the industry), projected at three percent. They anticipated a "continued strong economic level through 2000 in most sectors". Second, the sector is particularly sensitive to changes in government spending. This is especially true in the heavy construction and heavy engineering areas where governments are the dominant source of funding. As governments at all levels struggled to reduce debt and hold the line on taxes, investment in infrastructure was reduced. Again, this weighed heavily on the industry in the early nineties, but the situation shows signs of improvement in the years ahead. Finally, and of longer-term significance, is the changing demographic situation. Population growth in Canada and this region is slowing and the population is aging. While slower growth is a negative for this industry, the changing make-up of the population may bring benefits to certain parts of the industry. This may be especially so for those involved in household renovation work. An aging population may be less inclined to tackle projects on their own and more interested (and financially better prepared) to hire others to do the work. Similarly, the demand for different types of housing and government services may lead to significant investments as society "retools" to serve the needs of an older population.

While the industry is affected by larger economic cycles, economic conditions at the local level also play an important role in determining the demand for employment. The construction industry in the London HRCC region experienced little growth through the early nineties, with a slow recovery beginning in 1997. Our interviews and data suggested that this region has lagged behind much of Ontario in its recovery from the difficult years of the early nineties. Our most recent interviews indicate that many of the trades (i.e. bricklayers, operating engineers and skilled labourers) are currently at full employment and may soon be experiencing a shortage of skilled workers given the strong growth in the surrounding area.

As is true on the national level, a number of factors have contributed to relatively slow growth at the local level. Severe cutbacks in government funding to health and educational institutions not only limited funds for capital construction but also weakened the local economy through job losses. In the private sector as well, the loss of employers such as Nortel and the recent takeover of London Life have adversely affected the health of the regional economy. Overall, population growth in the five-county region in the period 1991-96 amounted to only four percent, and this has limited demand for new construction.

The weakness in the regional economy has not affected all parts of the region in the same way, however. Table 1.1 compares the total value of building permits for major cities in each of the five counties considered in this report. While the industries in London, Sarnia and Goderich showed modest improvement by 1997, St. Thomas experienced a truly significant recovery, with the value of building permits more than doubling between 1994 and 1997. Our interviews with individuals involved in and knowledgeable with regards to the industry in the St. Thomas area attributed this positive performance to a dedicated effort on the part the city to attract business and industry. It would appear that these efforts are having a substantial effect on the local economy.

Table 1.1 Total Value of Building Permits ($Millions)
City199419951996 19971998
London230.0 222.0227.0262.0319.0
St. Thomas29.117.125.969.731.6
Woodstock27.3 32.013.529.225.2
Sarnia31.3 34.4 51.350.2 35.2
Goderich5.75.79.54.45.1

Source: Data for the table are derived from local building permits for each municipality.

On the other hand, we were repeatedly informed that the city of London continues to fare relatively poorly in comparison with some of the other municipal regions in Southwestern Ontario. The city of London was referred to as "the hole in the doughnut", an area characterized by limited growth while surrounded by areas faring significantly better. Tables 1.2 and 1.3 address this concern by comparing the total number of dwelling starts (Table 1.2) and the total value of residential and non-residential construction (Table 1.3) for London and some of the other municipal regions in Southwestern Ontario.

Table 1.2 Total Dwellings Starts for Metropolitans, 1996 & 1997
Metro199619971998
London1,394 1,8072,027
Sarnia91 138160
Kitchener1,968 2,1712,549
Hamilton2,642 3,698 3,627
Windsor2,3002,1021,938

Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Canadian Housing Statistics, 1997 and 1998.

Table 1.3 Building Permits for Metropolitans ($Millions)
MetroResidentialNon-Residential
City199519961997 199819951996 19971998
London117.7 146.6197.7229.7142.1141.9152.1154.1
Kitchener120.3 231.8274.3267.0251.7175.4148.5185.4
Hamilton218.5 291.0402.9391.0167.1156.9210.9331.9

Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Canadian Housing Statistics, 1997, 1998.

Many of our respondents indicated that conditions have improved recently and that unemployment in the London area has decreased . They were also optimistic regarding the outlook for employment for the next couple of years. Some anticipated the need for municipal upgrading of infrastructure, specifically roads and sewage systems. It was believed that if these upgrades come about, the industry would experience growth and the demand for skilled trades people would increase. It should also be noted that the residential sub-sector has experienced significant growth in the recent past.

Another potentially important source of work for the local industry could be derived from capital spending in the health and education sectors. Plans are underway for a $330 million overhaul of The London Health Sciences Centre and St. Joseph's Health Centre. According to the June 10th edition of the London Free Press, this renovation would represent "the single largest infrastructure construction project in London's history". (Egan, Mary-Jane. 1999. "Details of hospitals' overhaul today." London Free Press June 10, Sec. A:3.) According to hospital representatives, the project will require 9,000 person-years of construction work to complete and should serve to provide a variety of economic benefits for the city of London and the surrounding region. (Macartney, Gerry. 1999. "It makes sense to invest in our hospitals." London Free Press, June 6, Sec. A:9.) The Ontario government is also considering investing large sums for capital spending in the post-secondary sector in anticipation of continued growth in enrolment and the impact of the "double cohort' that will arrive with the elimination of the fifth year of high school. As much as $50 million could flow into the local area in connection with this initiative.

Our recent interviews with individuals in the industry indicated several other projects that are scheduled for the HRCC area and the surrounding regions. It is anticipated that the construction industry will benefit from proposed upgrades to the Bruce nuclear power plant as well as improvements to Ontario Hydro's transmission lines. Also noteworthy are the proposed plans for a gas pipeline that will extend from Sarnia to Port Stanley. This project is expected to employ 300 - 400 workers for at least one year. These projects will increase the demand for skilled tradespeople in the local area and may cause further shortages in several of the key construction trades.

While the factors cited above hold the promise of increased demand for labour in the construction sector, the volatility of the industry makes forecasting hiring needs rather difficult. Moreover, there are several other features of the labour force in the construction industry that complicate the process of predicting employment needs. We will briefly comment on each before moving to a review of the various trades that account for much of the employment in the construction sector.

One factor is the high level of mobility in the construction industry. Our interviews with workers and employers indicated that steady employment often requires that workers and contractors service areas outside of the local region. This is critical because it suggests that local economic trends may have more to do with where people work rather than whether they work. By the same token, a surge in demand locally may be met in part by the movement of skilled workers from other regions. Both companies and unions have become accustomed to a situation in which mobility is common. However, while the practice of traveling in search of work may allow some individuals to avoid unemployment, it may also encourage others to abandon construction for work in other industries. This may be particularly true for those who are older, have family commitments, or for whom constant travel is undesirable. Related to this is the lure for many in the skilled trades of regular employment in manufacturing or related sectors. Several respondents expressed concern about the loss of experienced workers who preferred the greater stability of employment in other sectors of the economy. Third, the strenuous nature of work in many trades may produce a different pattern of retirement or job change than in many other industries. Some jobs, such as roofing, are so physically demanding that relatively few workers may be likely to spend their whole careers at this type of work. These factors must be kept in mind when examining the age distribution of workers in various trades. If early retirement or movement into work in other industries is common, the potential for labour shortages may be greater than would be apparent from data on the age distribution of current workers. Finally, changes in Canada's immigration patterns have closed off an important source of labour for the construction industry. In past decades, immigrants from Europe moved into construction in large numbers. In recent years, however, very few immigrants indicate an intention to enter the industry. In 1989, only 5,101 (or 5.1% of newcomers headed to the labour market) immigrants identified the construction trades as their intended occupation. Since then the numbers have declined steadily even while the number of immigrants has risen. 1995 figures show only 1,324 (1.2%) immigrants looking for work in construction. We will return to the significance of some of these factors after first examining the outlook for employment for some of the major construction trades.

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Outlook For Employment

Through our interviews with representatives in the construction industry we were able to gather information pertaining to the skill requirements and the demand for workers in various areas of construction. It is important to note that demand for workers in all of the trades fluctuates according to the economic climate, and that those who are considering a career in construction should be aware of the cyclical nature of the industry. This section of the report details some of the major occupations in the construction sector and discusses employment prospects and skill demands within each. (A more detailed review of each trade and its skill, education, and training requirements is contained in Appendix F. Appendix F also contains additional information on current work opportunities and wages)

Managerial, Supervisory and Technical Positions

Return to Table of Contents Project Manager

Return to Table of Contents Site Supervisor

Return to Table of Contents Estimators

Skilled Trades

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Bricklayer

Return to Table of Contents Plumber

Return to Table of Contents Crane Operators

Return to Table of Contents Millwright

Return to Table of Contents Roofer

Return to Table of Contents Construction Electricians

Return to Table of Contents Tilesetters

Return to Table of Contents Heavy Equipment Operators

Return to Table of Contents Carpenters

Return to Table of Contents Sheet Metal Workers

Return to Table of Contents Labourer

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ISSUES AFFECTING EMPLOYMENT IN THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY

Having reviewed the occupational outlooks for many of the major trades and occupations in the industry, we will now review some of the issues that were identified in our interviews as affecting employment in the construction sector.

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Aging of the Workforce and Potential Skill Shortage

Return to Table of Contents Seasonality

Return to Table of Contents Multi-skilling

Return to Table of Contents Technology

Return to Table of Contents The New Employment Insurance Act

Return to Table of Contents The Movement Towards "Professionalization" in the Construction Industry

Return to Table of Contents Broad-Based Technology

Return to Table of Contents Women in the Construction Trades

Return to Table of Contents Unionization

Return to Table of Contents Future Recruitment to the Industry